Volume was notably subdued last week, which aligns with expectations of a short trading week. The S&P 500 saw a robust influx of over $34.5 billion, contrasting sharply with just under $22 billion in outflows, culminating in a 1.00% S&P 500 price gain. However, the troops / small-cap stocks (IWM) and the heavy tech sector […]
While it may not feel like it, investors truly do have much to be thankful for this holiday season. Over the past year, investors have navigated both short-term challenges due to interest rate swings, the banking crisis, and political battles in Washington, as well as long-term uncertainty resulting from inflation, the Fed, geopolitical conflicts, and more. And […]
After breaching significant support levels to conclude October, the markets mounted a robust rally, potentially kickstarting the traditionally favorable month of November. The troops (IWM) recorded a weekly gain of 7.57%, surging well beyond the 163 resistance level, which had recently served as the major support just recently breached the prior week. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq […]
While the S&P 500 saw a weekly decline of -0.74%, the Russell 2000 ETF IWM, representing the troops, remained relatively unchanged at +0.04%, while the generals (NDX) managed a slight increase of 0.10%. In contrast to the S&P 500’s downward trajectory for the week, Capital-Weighted Dollar Volume showed a different story. Capital inflows surpassed outflows, […]
At its September meeting, the Federal Open Markets Committee kept rates unchanged with a target range of 5.25% to 5.50%, in a decision that was widely anticipated by investors. Still, markets responded negatively with bond yields jumping to levels not seen since 2007, the S&P 500 falling a couple percentage points, and tech stocks retreating further […]
Click here to download this commentary in PDF format. For long-term investors, knowing the difference between what can and cannot be controlled is the key to both financial success and peace of mind. While all investors would like to believe they can predict or even control the direction of the market, experience teaches us that […]
While 2023 has been a better year for bonds after last year’s bear market, rising interest rates over the past three months have acted as a headwind. The U.S. Aggregate bond index has gained 0.6% this year, down from a peak return of 4.2% in April. Similarly, corporate bond returns have receded to 1.8% from 5% prior […]
Despite the economic uncertainty of the past year, everyday individuals and households have been resilient. Consumer spending has remained steady in the face of high inflation, rising interest rates, housing market challenges, and layoffs in sectors such as tech. While it has helped that the recession anticipated by many investors and economists has not materialized, this fact […]
Last week’s Volume Analysis Flash Update focused on August’s historically weak seasonality trend, the nearing of potentially significant resistance points in the S&P 500 (nearing 4635), and the resistance posed by all-time highs in Capital-Weighted Dollar Volume. Thus, it’s not unexpected that the NDX 100 (generals) experienced a 3.02% decline last week. This decline also […]
Recent economic figures, which show improving inflation and steady GDP growth, continue to support the market rally. The S&P 500 has gained over 20% with dividends this year and is now only 4.5% below its early 2022 peak. The Nasdaq Composite and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have returned 37% and 8%, respectively. These are sharp reversals […]