All-Time Highs Breached as Capital Flows Leads the Advance Last week concluded with a decisive show of strength as Friday’s capital flows recorded a commanding 95% inflow day. For the week, inflows outgunned outflows by nearly a two-to-one margin based on total capital-weighted dollar volume. In our prior dispatch, we noted that supply lines were […]
After a strong advance at Tuesday’s opening bell, effectively a gap-and-go maneuver, the markets held their ground, trading largely within Tuesday’s battlefield range. For the month, the generals (Invesco QQQ ETF) led the charge with a decisive 9%+ surge, rallying the broader forces higher. Meanwhile, the dividend brass commanders (SCHD – Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity […]
Tactical Pullback – Bears Counterattack After Bullish Blitz Following a five-week surge that saw the bulls in full control of the field, the S&P 500 paused to regroup last week, retreating on below-average volume. All units experienced a pullback, though the generals (Invesco QQQ Trust – QQQ) held their ground best, falling -2.35%. In contrast, […]
Volume Analysis Update: Out of the Blocks The bulls launched their offensive with the precision of a dawn raid on Monday the 12th, charging out of their blocks and seizing early momentum to begin the week. A massive 97% Capital Inflow Day served as a shock-and-awe maneuver, catching the bears flat-footed on the battlefield’s opening […]
Volume Analysis Update: Market Stands at Ease The stock market took a much-needed breather this week. After several long weeks of intense combat in the markets, the S&P 500 took a tactical pause this week, marking time within the confines of last week’s battlefield. Volatility retreated as the index closed entirely within the prior week’s […]
Volume Analysis Update: Strong Momentum Low Munitions Once again, the generals, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), led the bullish battalion into the fray, advancing 3.44% as they charged ahead of the rank and file troops, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), who followed closely with a 3.28% gain. The brass commanders, representing broader leadership, advanced more cautiously: […]
Volume Analysis Update: Marty’s Market Revival The generals, Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), resumed command of the battlefield last week, surging ahead by 6.41%, while their lieutenants, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY), and troops, iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM), followed closely behind, posting gains of 4.60% and 4.10%, respectively. Meanwhile, the brass commander — the Invesco […]
The Curious Case of the VW Formation In early March, the market’s defenses began to falter. On March 7th, our capital-weighted volume metric broke ranks, breaching both structural support and our critical 1% threshold, signaling a Volume Analysis correction. Later, with the threat level elevated, on March 21st, capital-weighted dollar volume followed suit, confirming a […]
Reshuffling the Deck Like a high-stakes battlefield shuffled anew, this week’s market action unfolded with historic magnitude. Capital Weighted Volume, Capital Flows (Capital Weighted Dollar Volume), Upside CW Volume, and Dollar Volume all surged to all-time weekly highs—marking what could be a pivotal realignment in investor positioning. The week began in disarray. On Tuesday, nearly […]
This past week, the market’s price trend finally aligned with its volume trends, which broke down a month earlier. On Thursday, April 3rd, the bears notched a 95% downside volume day on above-average S&P 500 capital weighted volume. This impressive performance was eclipsed on Friday, April 4th, with a staggering 99% downside volume day on […]