Halloween Gravestone Doji IV Despite the ray of hope revealed in last week’s outlook, Halloween’s gravestone doji on the S&P 500 continues to haunt the battlefield as the S&P 500 closed below its 10-week moving average for the first time since early May. Midweek, the index fell beneath 6,550 support but found footing at minor […]
Gravestone Part III: Setting The Stage Two weeks ago, on Halloween, the S&P 500 closed the week forming a gravestone doji—a candle historically known for its ominous reputation. True to form, the market heeded that warning, delivering a bearish follow-through the following week. Yet just as the tombstone cast its shadow, a new pattern emerged […]
“From Gravestone to Dragonfly: Hope Arises from the Battlefield” Halloween’s gravestone doji was true to its reputation serving as an early epitaph for the recent rally. The tombstone trade proved fatal for the generals of the advance, while the brass commanders once again demonstrated their resilience when under heavy fire. Yet, even in the aftermath […]
Trend or Trick – Gravestone on Halloween The generals (Invesco QQQ Trust, QQQ) led a strong charge this past week, advancing 1.94%, but most other units failed to follow, instead falling into retreat. The surging troops (iShares Russell 2000 ETF. IWM) closed negative, down -1.28%, while the dividend commanders (Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF, SCHD) […]
Clouds Clearing as Market Forces Advance The S&P 500 Index broke above last week’s outside bar’s resistance to record a new all-time high. Although Thursday’s narrow inside session may have appeared unremarkable on the surface, the underlying dynamics told a more powerful story: upside volume overwhelmed downside volume by roughly 9-to-1, and capital inflows accounting […]
Clouds Gathering, Rays Breaking Through This week our market “army” repositioned under cover. The S&P 500® Index remained entirely inside last Friday’s (10/10/2025) long bar, a tactical inside-week formation at the rear of the frontline. The battlefield quieted, yet the under-surface currents show both risk and latent potential. Volume & Capital Flows: Calm on the Surface, Engines […]
The markets came under heavy fire Friday as renewed fears of a U.S.–China trade conflict rattled investors and triggered a widespread selloff. After a 400-point September advance, the S&P 500 had marched deep into extended territory, leaving supply lines thinner and sentiment shaken. The result was a swift and decisive pullback. On October 10, 2025, […]
A New Hope or a Gathering Storm? The tide of capital continued to rise this week, pushing the market toward new milestones. Both Capital-Weighted Volume and Capital Flows pressed higher, with Capital-Weighted Dollar Volume (Capital Flows) breaking out to fresh all-time highs, and accumulated volume matching prior highs at resistance. While price confirmed the advance, […]
A New Hope or a Gathering Storm? This week’s battlefield was quiet on the surface but filled with subtle signals beneath the smoke. The S&P 500 carved out a higher high and a lower low, yet closed almost exactly where it began leaving behind a doji candle on the weekly bar. At first glance, this […]
A New Hope or a Gathering Storm? This past week, the market delivered another milestone with the S&P 500 closing at new weekly highs. Beneath the surface, however, the story is one of mixed conviction. Capital is flowing, but not yet at the same pace as price. Volume and Flows Capital-weighted dollar volume and to […]